enm logoThe Limits of the
ECONOMIC CYCLE
an exercise in nonlinear economic dynamic modelling

by Andrew Rowson, supervised by Prof. A.R.Champneys
Home A Dismal Science Economic TheoryClassical Neoclassical Keynesian Cycles and Crises Measuring cycles Economic Time Series Data Processing Spectral Analysis Cycle Modelling Kaldor's Trade Cycle A Kaldorian model Conclusion Full Report Economic Theory - a brief history Enlightenment thinking
Economics emerged as a science during the later part of the 18th century during the period now referred to as the Age of Enlightenment. The movement can be characterised as a shift towards freedom, democracy and reason as the key values in a society as opposed to the irrationality, superstition and tyranny which characterised the Middle Ages.

Advances in the natural sciences were based on reasoned and systematic thinking and successfully explained many observable phenomena. In physics, complicated systems were reduced to simpler ones which could be investigated through carefully controlled experiments. Under controlled conditions these could be repeated to determine constants from which the laws of nature were derived.

newton
Newton (1795) by William Blake
The combined effects were generally considered to be additive and could be explained as a linear superposition of the constituent parts. Newton, Laplace and others made important discoveries in mechanics, light and sound based on this methodology. The insight and predictive power of their theories attracted economists who adopted the techniques in their own analysis of economic behaviour.

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